Bayern Munich switches focus to Leverkusen

Soccer Betting Lines

04/08/2010 - Leverkusen, Germany (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Bayern Munich lost to Manchester United in the Champions League on Wednesday, but former legend Franz Beckenbauer said it was "one of the nicest defeats in the history of Bayern."

Bayern lost to United 3-2 in the second leg of their Champions League match at Old Trafford, but scored the final two goals to level the series on aggregate 4-4 and advanced on away goals.

The German club is in the Champions League semifinals for the first time since 2001, sits atop the Bundesliga with five matches remaining and advanced to the Pokal Cup final, but "we've won nothing yet," captain Mark van Bommel said.

Bayern visits Bayer Leverkusen on Saturday for the third game of a crucial run on the road. Bayern won at Schalke last weekend, 2-1, to snap a two-game skid, then earned the result it needed in England.

A win at BayArena this weekend would send Leverkusen nine points off the pace, and leave Bayern ahead of Schalke regardless of its result against Hannover.

"All we're thinking about now is Leverkusen, we have to focus completely on them. It'll be an even more difficult game than the visit to Schalke, and we can't afford any more slip-ups in the league," Van Bommel said.

Bayern dropped back-to-back Bundesliga games after leading, losing 2-1 to both Eintracht and Stuttgart, to allow Schalke to move into the top spot before the match last week in Gelsenkirchen.

Franck Ribery and Thomas Muller scored just one minute apart midway through the first half, and Bayern held on after Hamit Altintop was sent off late in the opening half as the Munich side regained the league lead.

"It's our own fault that we're only a point clear at the top, and not a couple more. We want to win the league, which means we have to win in Leverkusen to keep Schalke behind us," said Van Bommel, who will miss the first leg of the Champions League semifinals against Lyon through suspension.

Bayern has featured a balanced offense, with Arjen Robben - who scored a great volley for the series-winning goal against United - and Mario Gomez both on 10 goals. Muller and Olic each have eight, while Ribery has four in five starts.

Leverkusen features one of the top scorers in the league in Stefan Kiessling, who is tied with Schalke's Kevin Kuranyi for second place with 18 goals. Eren Derdiyok is second on the club with 12 goals.

Leverkusen, which enters the week six points back of Bayern, opened the season on a 24-game unbeaten streak but has slipped from the top spot since losing to Nurnberg in early March.

Bayer has dropped four of its last five and now holds just a one-point lead on Borussia Dortmund for third place and the last Champions League berth.

Jupp Heynckes, who led Bayern over the final five games of last season, needs to get his new club back on track over the final five weeks of this season to secure a spot in Europe's top club event.

On Friday, Monchengladbach hosts Eintracht to open the weekend's matches. Also Saturday, Hannover hosts Schalke, Hoffenheim hosts Koln, Mainz hosts Borussia Dortmund, Hertha Berlin hosts Stuttgart, and Werder Bremen hosts Freiburg. On Sunday, Bochum hosts Hamburg and Nurnberg hosts Wolfsburg.

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Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting

So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.

Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?

If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)

Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).

In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.

Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.

The Bubble Breakdown
CONFERENCE LOCKS SHOULD BE INS AT-LARGES TAKEN
(assuming no auto bid outlier)
ACC Betting Odds 6 0 5
Big East Betting Odds 5 0 4
Big Ten Betting Odds 2 2 3
Big 12 Betting Odds 3 0 2
Pac-10 Betting Odds 5 1 5
SEC Betting Odds 4 0 3
MVC Betting Odds 1 1 1
MWC Betting Odds 2 1 2
TOTAL 28 5 25

As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.

(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)

If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.

Atlantic Coast Conference

Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech

The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.

 

Work left to do:

Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.

Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).

Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.

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